On the same Monday that Meta announced it wanted to raise $95bn (£71bn), Elon Musk predicted that most of the companies renting out the machines AI depends on would not survive. The two stories belong together, because they show how the AI boom is being divided between those who can pay for it and those who cannot. Meta's plan has two parts. First, it will sell $35bn of new shares through underwritten public offerings, with the chipmakers Nvidia, AMD and Broadcom reportedly interested as "cornerstone investors" who could take up to $5bn between them.
Second, it will open a $60bn "at-the-market offering", allowing it to sell shares gradually at whatever price the market sets. These will be a new class C stock, created only last week, which carries no voting rights. The detail matters: Mark Zuckerberg can bring in huge sums from outside investors without weakening his control of the company. Musk's warning concerned the "neoclouds", firms that lease computing power to AI developers.
Writing on X, he said debt markets had "almost entirely" closed to any company without substantial revenue beyond AI datacentres, and he predicted "guppy-level death and consolidation" among more than 200 such firms. Shares in Nebius, CoreWeave and Iren fell before the market opened. Iren and CoreWeave later recovered, while Nebius closed more than 3% lower. It is worth remembering that Musk's own companies, Tesla and SpaceX, also run datacentres.