The Met Office says the UK's familiar climate baseline is gone, and what replaced it is already reshaping life from London to Lancashire.
Picture a summer night in London in 1975. It is warm, but you sleep. Now picture the same city in 2024: the thermometer refuses to drop, the air sits heavy, and somewhere in a hospital a doctor is treating a patient for heat exhaustion. That shift is not anecdote — it is data.
The number of days above 30°C and nights above 18°C in Greater London has more than quadrupled between the baseline period of 1961–1990 and the decade 2016–2025. The Met Office has put a name to what many people have quietly suspected: the climate that Britain knew throughout the twentieth century no longer exists. The evidence comes from the Met Office's latest state-of-the-climate report, which confirmed that 2025 was the warmest year in UK records stretching all the way back to 1884. The decade 2016–2025 was, on average, 1.
33°C warmer than the 1961–1990 baseline — a figure that sounds modest until you consider what it does to extremes. The hottest day of the year in southern England is now typically 4.5°C warmer than it was in that same baseline period. "We are right now living in a time of historic and unprecedented change," said Mike Kendon, a climate information scientist at the Met Office.
He described the warming as moving "north and uphill," meaning areas like the Vale of York and Lancashire now experience temperatures that once belonged only to Greater London. What does that mean for people?