The US midterm results are in, but analysts argue the agenda for the Trump-Xi summit in Shenzhen has not changed.
The votes are counted. The pressure is not gone. Donald Trump and Xi Jinping are heading for a summit in Shenzhen, and the old problems are waiting for them. Washington has spent months reading the midterm results.
Some see a weakened president who needs a trade win. Others see a leader freed to bargain hard. The Diplomat's argument is simpler: the results should not rewrite the agenda. The topics that mattered before election day still matter now.
Trade comes first. In April 2025, US tariffs on Chinese goods peaked at 145 percent, and Beijing answered with duties and export controls. Rare earth minerals, the metals behind electric motors and missiles, became a weapon. Truces since then have been fragile, and each side has accused the other of breaking them.