Britain's coastal waters are running 2–5°C above normal, and scientists warn the global pattern points toward mass die-offs of marine species.
On some stretches of British coastline this summer, the sea temperature is running 4 to 5 degrees Celsius above what would normally be expected — conditions the Met Office classifies as "severe. " It is the third marine heatwave to strike UK waters this year, and by some distance the most intense. The trigger, according to Dr Ségolène Berthou, an air-sea interaction specialist at the Met Office, was the heat dome that locked over Europe last month during the continent's worst recorded heatwave. "The ocean didn't have enough time to cool down between the two land heatwaves," she said.
With a third atmospheric heatwave now pushing temperatures above 30°C for up to ten consecutive days, conditions at sea are not expected to improve. "There's no sign of an end to it," Berthou added. The broader context makes the regional picture harder to ignore. The Copernicus Climate Change Service has confirmed that global sea surface temperatures have already broken records set as recently as 2023 and 2024, a development that scientists had anticipated as El Niño conditions — forecast to be the strongest in decades — began to take hold.
Oceans absorb more than 90 percent of the excess heat accumulating in the Earth system, most of it generated by the burning of fossil fuels. The consequences for marine life could be severe and lasting. Professor John Pinnegar, principal scientist at the Centre for Environment, Fisheries and Aquaculture Science, warned that prolonged elevated sea temperatures can produce "mass-mortality events" for certain species and shift the geographic range of commercially important fish and shellfish stocks. UN Secretary-General António Guterres, speaking from Geneva, called El Niño's arrival "the urgent climate warning it is" — a characterisation that fisheries managers from the North Sea to the South Pacific may soon be forced to test against reality.