On board Air Force One on Sunday, Donald Trump told reporters that he had cancelled what he described as the biggest planned American military strike since the Second World War. The target was Iran. The reason it did not happen, he said, was a combination of Gulf diplomacy and the outline of a deal. "We were all set to go," Trump said, before adding that Saudi Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman, along with the United Arab Emirates and Qatar, had urged him to hold back.
Talks, he announced, would begin on Monday afternoon. The immediate market reaction was sharp. In Asian trading on Monday morning, Brent Crude fell 4.5% to $83.
98 a barrel, while US-traded oil dropped 4.6% to $80.74. The move reflected how tightly global energy markets have been tracking the conflict, which began on 28 February.
Roughly 20% of the world's crude oil and liquefied natural gas passes through the Strait of Hormuz, and any military escalation near that chokepoint carries consequences far beyond the region. Tehran's response was cautious and, in parts, contradictory. Iran's semi-official Mehr news agency flatly denied that the government had asked Washington to delay strikes, calling Trump's account "nothing but a new lie." Yet Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi separately said that negotiations with Oman over the Strait of Hormuz were "on track for finalisation" — a framing that sits uneasily alongside the denial.
Trump declined to name a venue for Monday's talks, identify who would attend, or set any deadline for a deal.