A joint NASA–ESA satellite caught the first ripples of El Niño months before forecasters made it official, revealing how ocean height tells the temperature story.
On June 8, 2026, a map lit up in red. The colours were not a warning — they were a measurement. Three days before the United States' National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration officially declared an El Niño event, NASA's Jet Propulsion Laboratory was already watching warm water bulge across the central and eastern Pacific Ocean. The instrument doing the watching was the Sentinel-6 Michael Freilich satellite, a joint project between NASA and the European Space Agency launched in 2020.
Its data revealed something quietly astonishing: you can feel an El Niño approaching not just by measuring temperature, but by measuring height. Here is the physics behind that idea. When seawater warms, it expands. It quite literally takes up more space, which causes the ocean's surface to rise.
So a satellite that measures sea surface height is, in effect, reading the ocean's temperature from space.